Longitudinal change of transit accessibility: A case study of the Greater Toronto Hamilton Area – Albert Lo

July 23, 2019 @ 1:00 pm – 2:00 pm
Sandford Fleming Building, ITS Lab and Testbed, Room SF3103
10 King's College Road
3rd Floor
University of Toronto
Pat Doherty
416 978 4175

Join us for Albert Lo’s MASc thesis presentation, “Longitudinal change of transit accessibility: A case study of the Greater Toronto Hamilton Area.” All are welcome.


Land use and transportation (LUT) policies have a lasting impact on the sustainability and livability of cities. Therefore, LUT policies should be examined on a longitudinal scale to assess the long-term effects on travel behaviour.  Specifically, this thesis considers trends from 2001 to 2016 of transit accessibility and transit-oriented developments (TOD) of the Greater Toronto Hamilton Area on a micro and macro level.

Most of the data used to support the analysis come from the Transportation Tomorrow Survey and are augmented by the census and other sources.

At a disaggregate level, location choice models are developed to estimate person accessibility. Different segments exhibit different behaviour, but generally, people living in TODs are more sensitive to transit-walk-access wait time than non-TOD dwellers.

Finally, several regression models are developed to determine the effect of the considered transit variables on the number of household transit trips.

It is found that the effect of transit accessibility and TOD has increased over time in a positive manner. These results show that these policies regarding transit have consequences not only in the short-term and that past LUT policies should be considered for future policy.